Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
Sarpsborg 08
15.1%
Draw
12.6%
Strømsgodset
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.11
Strømsgodset
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
1-1
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
4-1
5.7%
4-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
5-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).