Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Norrköping
22.7%
Draw
28.8%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Norrköping
vs
1.61
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).