Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Oldham
28.6%
Draw
23.5%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Oldham
vs
0.95
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).