Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Almeria
18.4%
Draw
13.3%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Almeria
vs
0.86
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).