Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Genoa
28.6%
Draw
33.7%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Genoa
vs
1.06
Lazio
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).