Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Amiens
27.5%
Draw
40.4%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Amiens
vs
1.24
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).