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Padova

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DHT: 11

21 Feb 2026 · 14:00

Bari

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Padova
30.1%
Draw
23.1%
Bari

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Padova

vs
0.89

Bari

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).