Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Fleetwood Town
24.1%
Draw
17.3%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Fleetwood Town
vs
0.72
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).