Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Charlton
31.9%
Draw
44.8%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Charlton
vs
1.22
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
14.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).