Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Metz
20.3%
Draw
20.4%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Metz
vs
1.01
Red Star
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).