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AHT: 00CSV

15 Mar 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.1%
Elversberg
25.7%
Draw
16.2%
Preußen Münster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Elversberg

vs
0.81

Preußen Münster

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).