Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Lazio
28.9%
Draw
16.4%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Lazio
vs
0.56
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.4%
0-0
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
7.3%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).