Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Pacos Ferreira
23.4%
Draw
60.5%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.64
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).