Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.2%
St Johnstone
26.7%
Draw
58.1%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
St Johnstone
vs
1.56
Hearts
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).