Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.0%
Las Palmas
18.8%
Draw
70.2%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Las Palmas
vs
2.15
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.1%
0-1
12.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-1
8.9%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).