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16 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk
11.9%
Draw
3.6%
Obolon'

Expected Goals (xG)

2.60

Shakhtar Donetsk

vs
0.40

Obolon'

Markets

BTTS30.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.9%
3-0
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
4-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
1-1
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
5-0
5.0%
4-1
3.8%
5-1
2.0%
0-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).