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HHT: 11CSV

23 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Oxford

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Rotherham
22.8%
Draw
46.2%
Oxford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Rotherham

vs
1.58

Oxford

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).