Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Lugano
23.5%
Draw
11.8%
Yverdon Sport
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Lugano
vs
0.78
Yverdon Sport
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).