Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Ayr
23.5%
Draw
59.5%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Ayr
vs
2.09
Hearts
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.3%
0-1
7.4%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
2-3
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
0-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).