Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Oldham
26.4%
Draw
42.7%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Oldham
vs
1.32
Swindon
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).