Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Bari
27.1%
Draw
51.8%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Bari
vs
1.63
Pisa
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).