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HHT: 10CSV

07 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.7%
Barnsley
26.3%
Draw
55.0%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Barnsley

vs
1.63

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
6.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).