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04 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.9%
Charleroi
22.8%
Draw
19.3%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Charleroi

vs
1.06

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).