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17 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.9%
Gent
23.8%
Draw
36.3%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Gent

vs
1.60

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS65.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).