Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Bradford
22.5%
Draw
13.7%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Bradford
vs
0.57
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
14.7%
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).