Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
York
27.9%
Draw
27.4%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
York
vs
1.11
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).