Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Aris
17.8%
Draw
16.7%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Aris
vs
1.06
Monaco
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).