Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Larisa
30.8%
Draw
31.0%
Asteras Tripolis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Larisa
vs
1.07
Asteras Tripolis
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).