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HHT: 10CSV

30 Sept 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.3%
Niort
25.1%
Draw
50.7%
Orleans

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Niort

vs
1.42

Orleans

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.3%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).