Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Lugo
25.5%
Draw
53.8%
Cordoba
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Lugo
vs
1.53
Cordoba
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).