Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Ajaccio
29.6%
Draw
48.2%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Ajaccio
vs
1.17
Clermont
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.1%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).