Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.7%
Barnsley
25.0%
Draw
62.3%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Barnsley
vs
1.70
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
0-2
14.0%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
0-4
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).