Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Empoli
28.2%
Draw
29.9%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Empoli
vs
1.20
Ternana
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).