Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Doncaster
18.6%
Draw
13.9%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Doncaster
vs
0.83
Barrow
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).