Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Ebbsfleet
26.1%
Draw
49.6%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Ebbsfleet
vs
1.68
Sutton
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).