Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.2%
Arsenal
5.4%
Draw
1.4%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
4.02
Arsenal
vs
0.52
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.583.0%
Over 3.566.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
11.7%
3-0
11.6%
5-0
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
4-1
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
5-1
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
1-0
4.0%
1-1
2.5%
4-2
1.6%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).