Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.4%
Sassuolo
15.3%
Draw
6.3%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Sassuolo
vs
0.62
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
3-0
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
2.6%
5-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).