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05 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.6%
Andorra
23.2%
Draw
46.2%
Santander

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Andorra

vs
1.74

Santander

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).