Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Cagliari
28.8%
Draw
20.5%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Cagliari
vs
0.86
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).