Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Fredrikstad
28.1%
Draw
38.7%
Molde
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Fredrikstad
vs
1.20
Molde
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).