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AHT: 01

18 Jan 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.4%
Dender
26.3%
Draw
43.3%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Dender

vs
1.50

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).