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AHT: 10CSV

30 Jan 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
Virtus Entella
30.9%
Draw
21.8%
Cosenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Virtus Entella

vs
0.82

Cosenza

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).