Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Wigan
25.0%
Draw
43.8%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Wigan
vs
1.35
Oxford
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).