Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Umraniyespor
24.9%
Draw
21.6%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Umraniyespor
vs
1.36
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS68.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).