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AHT: 01CSV

15 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.7%
Rochdale
24.8%
Draw
50.5%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Rochdale

vs
1.53

Bradford

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).