Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Mainz
27.5%
Draw
39.0%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Mainz
vs
1.42
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).