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07 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.7%
Dundee United
22.2%
Draw
19.1%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Dundee United

vs
1.08

Livingston

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).