Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
Chertsey Town
16.0%
Draw
64.8%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Chertsey Town
vs
2.92
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS75.4%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.582.9%
Over 3.566.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
2-3
5.8%
1-4
5.3%
1-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
0-3
4.5%
2-4
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
0-1
3.3%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).