Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Southend
27.8%
Draw
16.7%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Southend
vs
0.72
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
12.3%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).