Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Swindon
22.0%
Draw
50.1%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Swindon
vs
1.83
Stockport
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
0-3
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).